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Friday, September 14, 2018

Portfolio Commentary: September


There were much transactions made on my little portfolio this month due to the extreme volatility in the Hong Kong market. For 10 days, the Hang Seng Index fell from a high of 28416 to 26345, a 7.8% decline. With the increased volatility, I increased capital injection. Some of the transactions include:

a) Divested Playmate Holdings after ex-dividend. Realized my mistake in valuation and move on until there is a larger, significant discount (40-50%). This means a price of $0.70 or so.

b) Divested Hop Fung Group on government regulation worries. The following screenshots off the quarterly report explains:

This brought about a 65% decline in net income, and the balance sheet was substantially weakened. Cash fell from 335 to 222m, and debt increased from 17m to 51m. The market subsequently sold the stock down 44% in a matter of three days.

This isn't a pretty picture and I disposed Tat Seng as well.

Cash from the divestment above, and additional capital, were deployed into the following
a) Increased TTJ after a 8-10% discount from my first purchase price

b) Initiated purchase of Thai Beverage; I do believe that the company will be able to turn the company around from its troubles, given the 10-year records. Meanwhile, I am expected to receive about a 4% dividend.

c) Increased position in Xinghua Port Holdings after the volatility provided the liquidity for this little-traded counter. After a few days, I received news that the Stop-Work Order on Xinghua Port's CCIP is lifted.

d) Initiated position in Qingling Motors, a net-nets stock with a pretty good dividend yield. It has fallen well over 20% in recent months.

e) Increased position in a slow-grower which identity I would keep mum since I am still in accumulation stage.

Most of my companies have some sort of problem weighing on them but I think they are temporary. I am a strong believer that markets are usually efficient and the ability to wait out problems is a major advantage of a retail investor. How long can problems last?

As the Hong Kong market recovered in the last two days, my little portfolio's year-to-date returns stands at +16%, leading the STI by 20% and HKEX by 27%. I am counting my blessings...

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