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Saturday, December 21, 2019

2019 Year End Review

 Portfolio returns vs Hong Kong Tracker Fund (HKEX: 2800). Yes, that spike was due to Xinghua Port Holdings, which saved my ass this  year.

Since my last post in https://laymaninvesting.blogspot.com/2019/10/rough-week-colex-lost-jurong-bid.html about Colex losing its bid for Jurong, the stock recover briefly but slumber back to pre-rally prices.

As the stock market rises as a whole, my value-oriented portfolio did not receive any mercy; it lost another good 4 percent since 3 months ago. It was depressing.

3 major stocks are responsible for the loss.
TTJ- down 26%
Colex- down 17%
SUTL- down 10.5%

OKP, LHT, Cosco Shipping International, Qingling, and Mapletree NAC Trust lost 5 percent or less. Some of these were very long term holdings, and dividends were paid. That was how bad a year it was.

As I wrote,

STI ES3 funds returned 8.48%.
Hong Kong Tracker Fund (2800), returned 11.35%.
SPDR SPY delivered a crushing 29.63%

My little portfolio, as a whole, garnered a measly 13.21% (Update: 16.23% as of 31-Dec, Thanks to a surge in a single stock due to a generous dividend policy. This stock, is itself, a dividend play)

While I do not own any stocks listed in America, it is still a humbling result as I think I have failed very badly this year. Who would have thought that REITS, who are priced at book value at the start of this year, will deliver 20-30% capital gains by the end of the year? Tech stocks also rallied in the latter half.

(As usual, I am not part of this blissful ride. I have initiated only 2.42% in Mapletree NAC Trust recently)

Which is shocking since most people invest in REITs for income and not for capital gains. A suitable cycling analogy would be for a road cyclist to be overtaken by a medium-aged man riding a single-speed bike. It doesn't matter if the road cyclist has been pedaling for 8 hours, and the latter, minutes. It is still a sad sight.

Portfolio Composition
23.47% is in Singapore Saving Bonds (here by referred to as bonds)
47.68% is in Singapore-listed equities, and
28.86% is in Hong Kong-listed equities.

There were no brilliant ideas this year, and worse, no profits that were rightly gained from value-investing ideas.
Stock.cafe summary reveals that I have made 26 buys, 12 sells. This is the lowest amount of transactions I ever made since 2016.

What is Next?
The American market is at an all time high. If market movement were to trend higher, I will be looking towards purchasing more bonds and going-private deals. I will not deviate from my investing principles, even though it was lackluster this year. I will not invest in things I cannot understand, or simply popular issues. I certainly ain't a fan of fleecing other people ideas and presenting them like my own.

Thank you OKP.

The agreement to terminate the viaduct contract with LTA. 2018. Bread and butter projects for OKP-- maintenance. Some questions wrote in pri...